The Insurance You Cannot Buy Later

AP Biology · Unit 7 · Topic 7.11

The Insurance You Cannot Buy Later

A population's variation is worth nothing until the environment changes, and cannot be acquired once it has.

Learning objective 7.11.A Explain how the genetic diversity of a species or population affects its ability to withstand environmental pressures.

The same five populations, in two different worlds

Five populations differ in one thing: how much heritable variation they carry for a trait. Each is put in a stable environment and then in one where the optimum moves by a small amount every generation. Switch between the two worlds and watch which of the five differences matter.

Heritable variation—
How far behind the optimum it ends—
Population at the end—
Fastest change it could survive—

All five, in both worlds

Heritable variationStable: populationMoving: lag at the endMoving: populationFastest survivable change
What variation is for

Where the last column comes from

That column was not measured from the simulation. It was worked out separately, from the model's equations, and then used to predict which rows would survive — and the prediction matched the simulation for every row. A model that only agrees with itself is not evidence of anything; this one makes a prediction that could have failed.